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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12313180100140160180200118108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#12
54.80.1
53.053.1
Auto12.5
Teleop33.8
End8.4
blue by 0.1
1701
#18
54.90.9
55.554.6
Auto12.8
Teleop33.7
End7.3
Second
469
#5
50.80.1
46.646.7
Auto13.9
Teleop27.8
End8.3
red by 6.1
1481
#26
44.70.9
40.139.2
Auto10.7
Teleop24.3
End8.7
Third
9242
#38
21.30.1
17.017.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End10.1
blue by 8.2
7226
#37
29.50.9
27.326.4
Auto10.6
Teleop12.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsMissed55%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed