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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261025015020013079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8426
#11
48.30.0
44.344.3
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
red by 9.8
3322
#17
38.51.3
40.339.0
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End7.4
Second
4237
#40
34.90.0
35.635.6
Auto12.3
Teleop13.5
End9.0
Level
3618
#36
34.91.3
34.733.4
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End5.6
Third
9255
#35
33.70.0
36.136.0
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End6.1
red by 4.9
28.91.3
23.722.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed50%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed