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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421518010012016018020022070159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#14
51.54.3
52.648.3
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
red by 0.4
51.20.2
52.151.9
Auto13.1
Teleop29.3
End8.1
Second
226
#25
44.44.3
43.439.1
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
blue by 4.8
49.30.2
47.647.4
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End8.3
Third
2619
#31
34.34.3
38.334.0
Auto12.9
Teleop14.2
End7.3
blue by 9.3
107
#24
43.60.2
43.743.5
Auto12.9
Teleop22.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsMissed94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned