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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11615550100200121149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#22
43.80.5
43.343.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End9.8
blue by 16.3
60.10.6
56.056.5
Auto17.2
Teleop31.3
End10.8
Second
4130
#29
43.10.5
44.244.6
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End7.1
blue by 8.5
818
#14
51.50.6
48.348.9
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
Third
7226
#37
29.50.5
26.426.8
Auto10.6
Teleop12.2
End6.9
blue by 10.8
3770
#32
40.30.6
38.739.3
Auto10.1
Teleop20.9
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsEarned91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned