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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11410905015020025030015184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#16
47.92.3
44.947.2
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
blue by 0.1
5505
#21
48.01.3
48.947.7
Auto13.2
Teleop28.0
End5.7
Second
1481
#26
44.72.3
38.941.2
Auto10.7
Teleop24.3
End8.7
red by 17.0
9207
#33
27.71.3
26.825.5
Auto6.8
Teleop14.4
End6.8
Third
28.92.3
22.424.7
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End7.4
red by 2.4
1940
#34
26.51.3
27.326.0
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsMissed