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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105149050200134123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8426
#11
48.32.0
44.346.3
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
blue by 6.5
1684
#12
54.81.1
53.752.6
Auto12.5
Teleop33.8
End8.4
Second
2619
#31
34.32.0
34.036.0
Auto12.9
Teleop14.2
End7.3
blue by 12.1
46.41.1
44.443.3
Auto12.0
Teleop26.2
End7.7
Third
8728
#19
29.32.0
25.327.3
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End9.3
blue by 4.4
9255
#35
33.71.1
36.035.0
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsMissed