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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160153100200250192158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.0
56.056.1
Auto15.3
Teleop32.3
End8.8
blue by 2.6
494
#20
60.30.6
58.258.7
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
Second
70
#27
54.70.0
53.153.1
Auto16.0
Teleop27.6
End9.9
blue by 5.5
51
#1
60.20.6
58.859.4
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
Third
4983
#15
40.60.0
40.240.3
Auto8.9
Teleop22.0
End10.3
red by 5.7
3618
#36
34.90.6
33.433.9
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned