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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15511650100200120152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#10
52.41.3
53.351.9
Auto12.6
Teleop29.2
End9.1
blue by 7.7
60.12.2
56.558.8
Auto17.2
Teleop31.3
End10.8
Second
5505
#21
48.01.3
47.746.3
Auto13.2
Teleop28.0
End5.7
red by 3.6
226
#25
44.42.2
39.341.5
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
Third
4130
#29
43.11.3
44.643.3
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End7.1
red by 21.8
9242
#38
21.32.2
17.719.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsEarned