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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201198090100110130140150129111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#26
44.71.2
41.242.4
Auto10.7
Teleop24.3
End8.7
red by 1.1
107
#24
43.60.2
44.143.9
Auto12.9
Teleop22.9
End7.1
Second
74
#22
43.81.2
43.845.1
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End9.8
red by 8.9
4237
#40
34.90.2
33.933.7
Auto12.3
Teleop13.5
End9.0
Third
9207
#33
27.71.2
25.526.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.4
End6.8
blue by 6.6
2619
#31
34.30.2
36.035.8
Auto12.9
Teleop14.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsMissed