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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15813350100200250150167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#12
54.80.3
52.652.9
Auto12.5
Teleop33.8
End8.4
blue by 5.7
3655
#13
60.52.6
56.258.8
Auto13.8
Teleop36.3
End9.0
Second
818
#14
51.50.3
48.949.2
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
red by 0.7
469
#5
50.82.6
47.249.8
Auto13.9
Teleop27.8
End8.3
Third
8426
#11
48.30.3
46.346.6
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
red by 19.4
28.92.6
24.727.3
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned