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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121100050150200250113125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.2
56.155.9
Auto15.3
Teleop32.3
End8.8
red by 11.3
46.41.9
43.345.2
Auto12.0
Teleop26.2
End7.7
Second
3618
#36
34.90.2
33.933.8
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End5.6
red by 5.4
7226
#37
29.51.9
26.828.7
Auto10.6
Teleop12.2
End6.9
Third
5860
#39
21.30.2
20.520.4
Auto9.2
Teleop6.4
End6.0
blue by 6.3
5235
#30
27.61.9
26.528.4
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsMissed49%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned