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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119127050100150200250300350400118111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#16
47.90.4
47.247.6
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
red by 7.4
4983
#15
40.61.1
40.339.1
Auto8.9
Teleop22.0
End10.3
Second
3322
#17
38.50.4
38.138.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End7.4
blue by 1.8
3770
#32
40.31.1
39.338.1
Auto10.1
Teleop20.9
End9.2
Third
8728
#19
29.30.4
27.327.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End9.3
blue by 9.7
5314
#28
39.01.1
38.537.4
Auto11.6
Teleop20.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned