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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1749550150200250130114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#1
60.21.5
59.457.8
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
red by 5.5
70
#27
54.71.0
53.154.1
Auto16.0
Teleop27.6
End9.9
Second
51.21.5
51.950.3
Auto13.1
Teleop29.3
End8.1
red by 24.7
1940
#34
26.51.0
26.027.0
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End5.3
Third
74
#22
43.81.5
45.143.5
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End9.8
red by 22.5
9242
#38
21.31.0
19.920.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned