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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14016850100200250126160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.6
53.953.4
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End9.7
blue by 5.1
3655
#13
60.50.4
58.859.2
Auto13.8
Teleop36.3
End9.0
Second
1481
#26
44.70.6
42.441.8
Auto10.7
Teleop24.3
End8.7
blue by 7.7
5216
#10
52.40.4
51.952.3
Auto12.6
Teleop29.2
End9.1
Third
4130
#29
43.10.6
43.342.7
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End7.1
blue by 8.5
818
#14
51.50.4
49.249.6
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned