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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19286050100150250300196103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#20
60.31.3
58.659.9
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
red by 12.0
8426
#11
48.30.6
46.647.2
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
Second
60.11.3
58.860.0
Auto17.2
Teleop31.3
End10.8
red by 32.4
9207
#33
27.70.6
26.827.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.4
End6.8
Third
57.71.3
55.957.2
Auto15.3
Teleop32.3
End8.8
red by 36.4
5860
#39
21.30.6
20.421.0
Auto9.2
Teleop6.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
99%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned