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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16012050100150200159125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#12
54.80.9
52.953.8
Auto12.5
Teleop33.8
End8.4
red by 6.9
5152
#16
47.90.5
47.648.1
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
Second
70
#27
54.70.9
54.155.0
Auto16.0
Teleop27.6
End9.9
red by 10.3
226
#25
44.40.5
41.542.0
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
Third
3322
#17
38.50.9
38.439.3
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End7.4
red by 9.0
7226
#37
29.50.5
28.729.2
Auto10.6
Teleop12.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned