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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9914005015020070145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#31
34.31.8
35.834.0
Auto12.9
Teleop14.2
End7.3
blue by 20.6
1701
#18
54.90.9
55.956.8
Auto12.8
Teleop33.7
End7.3
Second
9255
#35
33.71.8
34.833.0
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End6.1
blue by 5.2
5314
#28
39.00.9
37.438.3
Auto11.6
Teleop20.7
End6.0
Third
1940
#34
26.51.8
27.025.2
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End5.3
blue by 8.4
4237
#40
34.90.9
33.734.6
Auto12.3
Teleop13.5
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsEarned