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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401440100200300400500136143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#18
54.91.6
56.855.2
Auto12.8
Teleop33.7
End7.3
red by 0.2
70
#27
54.70.3
55.055.3
Auto16.0
Teleop27.6
End9.9
Second
107
#24
43.61.6
45.543.9
Auto12.9
Teleop22.9
End7.1
blue by 4.3
5152
#16
47.90.3
48.148.3
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
Third
5235
#30
27.61.6
29.327.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End7.4
blue by 7.2
4237
#40DQ
34.90.3
34.634.9
Auto12.3
Teleop13.5
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned