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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155154120130140150160170180190155152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#20
60.30.6
59.960.5
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
red by 5.5
1684
#12
54.80.5
53.854.3
Auto12.5
Teleop33.8
End8.4
Second
5216
#10
52.40.6
52.353.0
Auto12.6
Teleop29.2
End9.1
red by 1.3
51.20.5
50.951.4
Auto13.1
Teleop29.3
End8.1
Third
5314
#28
39.00.6
38.339.0
Auto11.6
Teleop20.7
End6.0
blue by 1.3
3770
#32
40.30.5
39.840.3
Auto10.1
Teleop20.9
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
63%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
99%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned