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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908605015020094101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#31
34.30.3
34.034.3
Auto12.9
Teleop14.2
End7.3
red by 5.0
8728
#19
29.31.3
28.029.3
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End9.3
Second
7226
#37
29.50.3
29.229.5
Auto10.6
Teleop12.2
End6.9
red by 0.6
28.91.3
27.929.3
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End7.4
Third
5860
#39
21.30.3
21.021.3
Auto9.2
Teleop6.4
End6.0
blue by 5.2
1940
#34
26.51.3
25.226.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned