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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137161050100200250151160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8426
#11
48.31.3
47.248.5
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
blue by 11.9
51
#1
60.20.8
58.359.1
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
Second
910
#23
45.41.3
44.345.6
Auto14.3
Teleop22.7
End7.7
blue by 6.2
818
#14
51.50.8
49.650.4
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
Third
226
#25
44.41.3
42.043.3
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
red by 3.9
4983
#15
40.60.8
39.840.6
Auto8.9
Teleop22.0
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned