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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166118100150200250170114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#1
60.20.5
59.159.6
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
red by 12.3
5152
#16
47.90.1
48.348.3
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
Second
818
#14
51.50.5
50.450.9
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
red by 13.0
3322
#17
38.50.1
38.938.8
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End7.4
Third
226
#25
44.40.5
43.343.8
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
red by 15.6
28.90.1
29.329.2
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End7.4