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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158176100200250170156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#1
60.20.3
59.559.9
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
blue by 0.1
494
#20
60.30.3
60.460.2
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
Second
818
#14
51.50.3
50.851.2
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
blue by 8.6
60.10.3
60.360.0
Auto17.2
Teleop31.3
End10.8
Third
226
#25
44.40.3
43.744.1
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
blue by 3.9
8426
#11
48.30.3
48.548.2
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8