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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621690100200300400500600164163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#13
60.50.3
59.659.9
Auto13.8
Teleop36.3
End9.0
red by 2.8
57.70.1
57.657.7
Auto15.3
Teleop32.3
End8.8
Second
55.40.3
54.554.8
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End9.7
red by 0.7
70
#27
54.70.1
54.654.7
Auto16.0
Teleop27.6
End9.9
Third
1481
#26
44.70.3
43.844.1
Auto10.7
Teleop24.3
End8.7
blue by 7.7
5216
#10
52.40.1
52.352.4
Auto12.6
Teleop29.2
End9.1