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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161156120140180200149146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#1
60.20.0
59.659.5
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
red by 5.3
1701
#18
54.90.0
55.355.3
Auto12.8
Teleop33.7
End7.3
Second
818
#14
51.50.0
50.950.8
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
red by 0.4
51.20.0
51.551.5
Auto13.1
Teleop29.3
End8.1
Third
226
#25
44.40.0
43.843.7
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
red by 0.8
107
#24
43.60.0
44.044.0
Auto12.9
Teleop22.9
End7.1