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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177159100120140200220240162158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#20
60.30.3
60.760.4
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
blue by 0.2
3655
#13
60.50.0
59.159.2
Auto13.8
Teleop36.3
End9.0
Second
60.10.3
60.560.3
Auto17.2
Teleop31.3
End10.8
red by 4.7
55.40.0
54.154.1
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End9.7
Third
8426
#11
48.30.3
48.748.5
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
red by 3.6
1481
#26
44.70.0
43.343.4
Auto10.7
Teleop24.3
End8.7