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Red191
22645.1
5160.9
81852.2
Blue181
609065.7
150657.8
21739.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164164140150160170180190191181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
Unranked
60.90.8
60.261.1
Auto15.5
Teleop34.6
End9.4
blue by 4.8
6090
Unranked
65.70.6
64.665.2
Auto17.9
Teleop35.1
End11.0
Second
818
Unranked
52.20.8
51.552.4
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End6.8
blue by 5.6
1506
Unranked
57.80.6
56.757.3
Auto15.2
Teleop32.5
End9.0
Third
226
Unranked
45.10.8
44.445.3
Auto12.8
Teleop22.4
End9.4
red by 5.3
217
Unranked
39.80.6
38.739.3
Auto9.3
Teleop24.2
End5.0