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Red155
776958.2
590143.9
516659.1
Blue172
81852.2
5160.9
22645.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166165140150160170180190155172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
Unranked
59.10.1
59.159.0
Auto17.3
Teleop31.5
End7.9
blue by 1.8
51
Unranked
60.90.3
61.161.3
Auto15.5
Teleop34.6
End9.4
Second
7769
Unranked
58.20.1
58.258.1
Auto11.5
Teleop35.6
End9.8
red by 6.0
818
Unranked
52.20.3
52.452.6
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End6.8
Third
5901
Unranked
43.90.1
43.943.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End9.4
blue by 1.2
226
Unranked
45.10.3
45.345.6
Auto12.8
Teleop22.4
End9.4