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Red121
718827.5
12332.9
170145.6
Blue119
877420.7
50339.8
233761.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961266080120140160180121119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.8
40.342.1
Auto13.4
Teleop23.4
End8.7
blue by 16.1
61.70.3
57.858.1
Auto15.2
Teleop37.9
End8.5
Second
123
#8
32.92.2
29.531.7
Auto10.9
Teleop16.8
End5.2
blue by 6.9
503
#4
39.80.3
36.937.2
Auto14.9
Teleop13.7
End11.2
Third
7188
#26
27.52.2
24.126.3
Auto7.3
Teleop14.6
End5.6
red by 6.7
20.70.3
20.120.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned