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Red43
81522.5
785616.8
66168.7
Blue62
204812.3
259114.7
590130.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5156203040607080904362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#18
22.50.4
23.923.5
Auto7.1
Teleop8.5
End6.9
blue by 8.3
30.80.8
29.029.9
Auto7.6
Teleop15.0
End8.1
Second
7856
#30
16.80.4
16.115.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.2
End4.9
red by 2.1
2591
#20
14.70.8
12.913.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End7.3
Third
6616
#39
8.70.4
8.48.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.0
End3.2
blue by 3.6
2048
#32
12.30.7
9.810.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
12%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsMissed