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Red80
653221.1
925526.5
769216.7
Blue73
719612.9
828024.7
468020.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625202040801001208073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9255
#11
26.51.9
25.127.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.9
End6.4
red by 1.8
8280
#14
24.71.5
22.123.6
Auto10.5
Teleop7.9
End6.3
Second
6532
#16
21.11.9
17.819.7
Auto9.5
Teleop5.1
End6.5
red by 0.6
4680
#25
20.51.5
18.319.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End6.3
Third
7692
#23
16.71.9
14.015.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End5.4
red by 3.8
7196
#28
12.91.9
9.511.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed