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Red112
341444.0
485116.0
262032.9
Blue41
361913.7
557717.5
267318.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9944020608012014016011241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.7
41.242.0
Auto14.2
Teleop21.3
End8.5
red by 25.3
2673
#19
18.70.5
18.718.1
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End4.1
Second
32.90.9
31.132.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.7
End9.5
red by 15.4
5577
#21
17.50.5
16.716.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End7.1
Third
4851
#15
16.00.9
13.714.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End6.0
red by 2.3
3619
#38
13.70.6
13.312.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed