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Red119
575614.0
170145.6
233761.7
Blue96
309627.9
222424.1
557717.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135635010015020011996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.0
59.859.9
Auto15.2
Teleop37.9
End8.5
red by 33.8
27.90.4
27.427.8
Auto8.4
Teleop13.4
End6.2
Second
45.60.0
43.743.8
Auto13.4
Teleop23.4
End8.7
red by 21.5
2224
#12
24.10.4
23.624.0
Auto8.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
Third
5756
#24
14.00.0
13.914.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End5.6
blue by 3.6
5577
#21
17.50.4
17.017.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End7.1