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Red117
691422.2
50339.8
341444.0
Blue78
653221.1
590130.8
12332.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112865010015011778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.3
42.442.8
Auto14.2
Teleop21.3
End8.5
red by 11.0
123
#8
32.90.1
32.632.5
Auto10.9
Teleop16.8
End5.2
Second
503
#4
39.80.3
38.338.6
Auto14.9
Teleop13.7
End11.2
red by 9.1
30.80.1
30.430.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.0
End8.1
Third
6914
#17
22.20.3
20.621.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End3.8
red by 1.1
6532
#16
21.10.1
20.520.4
Auto9.5
Teleop5.1
End6.5