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Red34
828020.2
547811.4
92539.2
Blue64
546713.0
717430.1
549817.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436602060801001203464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#18
20.20.7
21.120.4
Auto7.1
Teleop6.9
End6.2
blue by 9.9
30.10.4
29.930.3
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End7.0
Second
5478
#35
11.40.7
12.111.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End3.3
blue by 6.2
5498
#21
17.60.4
17.217.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End2.3
Third
9253
#39
9.20.7
9.89.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop2.4
End7.6
blue by 3.8
5467
#17
13.00.4
12.112.4
Auto1.2
Teleop6.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed