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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8716040608010012014016010012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#10
32.51.7
30.632.3
Auto11.1
Teleop13.0
End8.3
red by 24.0
5197
#37
8.51.3
9.88.5
Auto0.8
Teleop3.5
End4.3
Second
201
#9
26.31.7
24.926.5
Auto9.4
Teleop10.6
End6.3
red by 18.7
3632
#33
7.61.3
8.97.6
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End3.7
Third
9207
#24
21.31.5
17.218.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End8.5
red by 16.9
9148
#38
4.41.3
5.74.4
Auto0.8
Teleop1.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned7%Activation oddsMissed