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Red149
277121.7
335749.3
608143.8
Blue75
861217.4
205440.4
191836.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123998014016018014975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.7
48.649.3
Auto12.1
Teleop25.9
End11.3
red by 8.9
40.40.5
40.840.4
Auto9.0
Teleop24.8
End6.6
Second
43.80.7
43.143.8
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End8.6
red by 7.2
36.60.5
37.236.6
Auto13.0
Teleop16.3
End7.4
Third
2771
#19
21.70.7
21.021.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End5.8
red by 4.3
8612
#20
17.40.5
17.917.4
Auto7.4
Teleop5.5
End4.5