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Red150
277121.7
335749.3
608143.8
Blue112
861217.4
205440.4
191836.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219880140160180150112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.6
47.948.6
Auto12.1
Teleop25.9
End11.3
red by 8.9
40.40.3
40.540.8
Auto9.0
Teleop24.8
End6.6
Second
43.80.6
42.543.1
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End8.6
red by 7.2
36.60.3
36.937.2
Auto13.0
Teleop16.3
End7.4
Third
2771
#19
21.70.6
20.321.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End5.8
red by 4.3
8612
#20
17.40.3
17.617.9
Auto7.4
Teleop5.5
End4.5