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Red84
705426.5
376736.7
8538.5
Blue101
861217.4
205440.4
191836.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121008012014016084101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#6
38.50.5
39.038.5
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.9
blue by 1.9
40.40.1
40.640.5
Auto9.0
Teleop24.8
End6.6
Second
36.70.5
37.336.7
Auto7.5
Teleop21.1
End8.1
red by 0.1
36.60.1
37.036.9
Auto13.0
Teleop16.3
End7.4
Third
7054
#14
26.50.5
27.026.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End7.0
red by 9.1
8612
#20
17.40.1
17.717.6
Auto7.4
Teleop5.5
End4.5