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Red70
722620.7
423723.9
687722.4
Blue91
839713.7
608143.8
725610.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73612040801001207091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#22
23.90.2
23.423.3
Auto8.0
Teleop7.1
End8.8
blue by 19.9
43.82.4
39.041.4
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End8.6
Second
6877
#37
22.40.2
22.622.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.3
End7.0
red by 8.7
8397
#38
13.72.4
11.313.7
Auto1.1
Teleop8.5
End4.1
Third
7226
#23
20.70.2
21.120.9
Auto9.6
Teleop6.3
End4.8
red by 10.0
7256
#39
10.82.4
8.410.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned20%Activation oddsEarned