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Red85
323426.4
205440.4
656115.1
Blue95
191836.6
861217.4
587819.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86694060801001201408595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.5
39.339.7
Auto9.0
Teleop24.8
End6.6
red by 3.7
36.61.9
34.135.9
Auto13.0
Teleop16.3
End7.4
Second
3234
#11
26.40.5
24.925.4
Auto10.6
Teleop8.3
End7.5
red by 6.7
5878
#31
19.71.7
18.019.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End7.6
Third
6561
#26
15.10.5
14.715.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End6.3
blue by 2.3
8612
#20
17.41.7
15.116.8
Auto7.4
Teleop5.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned