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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62613040507080901006158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.5
22.022.4
Auto12.4
Teleop9.8
End7.5
blue by 3.7
5676
#11
33.40.0
24.524.5
Auto8.3
Teleop16.8
End8.2
Second
6150
#28
19.40.5
16.517.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.9
End5.6
blue by 3.7
8423
#31
23.10.0
17.017.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End7.0
Third
9210
#16
17.00.5
18.318.7
Auto6.4
Teleop4.3
End6.4
blue by 2.7
8297
#15
19.70.0
16.716.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsMissed