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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915602040801001201401605265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#10
33.53.3
35.532.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.4
End7.6
red by 1.9
31.50.9
20.521.3
Auto10.1
Teleop16.3
End5.2
Second
8373
#20
16.23.3
20.617.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End5.8
blue by 3.6
8522
#32
19.90.9
13.414.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End6.3
Third
5205
#37
15.63.3
25.221.9
Auto2.1
Teleop7.1
End6.4
blue by 2.2
1502
#23
17.90.9
23.324.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsEarned