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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656540608010010591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.14.8
24.829.6
Auto16.3
Teleop18.1
End8.6
red by 5.8
37.20.6
23.924.5
Auto9.9
Teleop19.2
End8.1
Second
40.94.8
21.626.4
Auto13.2
Teleop19.9
End7.8
red by 19.2
5090
#18
21.70.6
20.421.0
Auto9.0
Teleop8.3
End4.4
Third
5559
#38
10.14.8
15.420.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End4.8
blue by 3.8
9183
#33
13.90.6
16.116.8
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned