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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9749015010369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#1
47.82.0
32.234.2
Auto14.1
Teleop25.7
End8.0
red by 22.0
9312
#19
25.80.8
12.313.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.8
End4.2
Second
7166
#12
27.02.0
27.529.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.3
End6.5
red by 9.8
6556
#22
17.20.8
19.019.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End8.5
Third
5084
#34
24.02.0
25.127.1
Auto8.1
Teleop9.1
End6.8
red by 10.6
7656
#25
13.40.8
20.521.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed