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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63653040507080901001108961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.23.2
23.927.1
Auto12.3
Teleop21.3
End7.5
red by 17.0
6570
#26
24.11.0
21.120.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End5.8
Second
28.23.2
19.322.6
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End6.0
red by 4.8
5144
#27
23.41.0
17.316.3
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
Third
7221
#36
11.43.2
16.820.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 8.0
9209
#29
19.41.0
21.620.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed