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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71632040801001206538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.0
23.923.9
Auto12.3
Teleop21.3
End7.5
red by 9.6
31.52.5
22.920.5
Auto10.1
Teleop16.3
End5.2
Second
7501
#14
27.20.0
21.321.3
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End7.6
red by 4.0
8423
#31
23.12.5
19.517.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End7.0
Third
4453
#35
24.00.0
20.020.0
Auto7.8
Teleop10.9
End5.2
red by 13.9
5559
#38
10.12.5
17.915.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed