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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7185020406010012014016061104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#21
28.70.8
26.725.9
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.2
blue by 19.1
302
#1
47.82.9
29.332.2
Auto14.1
Teleop25.7
End8.0
Second
28.20.8
20.119.3
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End6.0
blue by 5.3
1023
#10
33.52.9
32.735.5
Auto7.4
Teleop18.4
End7.6
Third
5090
#18
21.70.8
21.220.4
Auto9.0
Teleop8.3
End4.4
red by 4.5
6556
#22
17.22.9
16.119.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsEarned