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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625920408010010052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.933.7
55.321.6
Auto13.2
Teleop19.9
End7.8
red by 11.3
29.60.6
22.522.0
Auto12.4
Teleop9.8
End7.5
Second
7166
#12
27.04.9
22.627.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.3
End6.5
red by 3.5
5144
#27
23.40.6
17.817.3
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
Third
9209
#29
19.41.1
22.721.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End6.4
red by 5.5
9183
#33
13.93.2
12.916.1
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed