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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741072040601201401601808284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#10
33.50.9
29.830.7
Auto7.4
Teleop18.4
End7.6
blue by 14.3
302
#1
47.81.4
38.036.7
Auto14.1
Teleop25.7
End8.0
Second
2834
#21
28.70.9
25.626.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.2
blue by 12.2
40.91.4
31.830.4
Auto13.2
Teleop19.9
End7.8
Third
6570
#26
24.10.9
18.519.4
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End5.8
blue by 5.5
29.61.4
26.425.1
Auto12.4
Teleop9.8
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned